Around March 26-27, the news coverage of the Cargo ship that ran into the Baltimore bridge broke and there was a lot of speculation.

I happen to have a GMDSS Operator/Maintainer License and so I asked AI a simple question I knew the answer too around that time:

Would it be likely or unlikely for a modern container ship to lose complete power and steering control right after a port inspection?

The “port inspection” is assumed. It had a GMDSS survey performed at some point and if the vessel departs it means that it had a passing inspection…

AI, you can barely trust 🙂 whose cut off knowledge base is 2021 has this to say about it:

“Losing complete power and steering control right after a port inspection would be considered a highly unlikely scenario for a modern container ship. Container ships are designed with redundant systems and safety measures to minimize the risk of such incidents.

Here are a few reasons why it would be unlikely:

1. Redundant Power Systems: Container ships typically have multiple power generators and backup power sources to ensure continuous power supply. These systems are designed to provide redundancy and minimize the chances of a complete power failure.
2. Maintenance and Inspections: Port inspections often include checks on the ship’s systems, including the propulsion and power systems. If any issues are identified during the inspection, they are typically addressed and resolved before the ship departs the port. Regular maintenance and inspections are conducted to ensure the ship’s systems are in proper working order.
3. Safety Regulations: The shipping industry is subject to strict safety regulations and standards. Ships must comply with international maritime regulations, such as the International Convention for the Safety of Life at Sea (SOLAS). These regulations require ships to have appropriate safety measures in place, including redundant systems, emergency power, and steering capabilities.
4. Emergency Response: Even in the unlikely event of a power or steering failure, container ships are equipped with emergency response systems. They have backup steering mechanisms, such as emergency steering systems or alternative propulsion methods, to maintain control over the vessel and prevent accidents.

While it’s impossible to completely eliminate the risk of technical failures, significant efforts are made to ensure the safety and reliability of modern container ships. Advanced monitoring systems, regular inspections, and redundant systems contribute to minimizing the likelihood of a complete loss of power and steering control immediately after a port inspection.”

As we suspected, it’s highly unusual for something like this to happen. Again I assume the recent port inspection… but it’s just standard procedure to have everything work before departure.

“How are we supposed to interpret this? What are the ways something like this could happen?”

AI responds with,

“There can be several reasons for power and steering failures on container ships. While these failures are relatively rare due to the robust design and redundant systems on modern vessels, here are some common causes:

1. Mechanical Failures: Mechanical failures in the power and steering systems can occur due to factors such as equipment malfunctions, wear and tear, component failures, or improper maintenance. For example, a failure in the propulsion system, such as the main engine or the propulsion shaft, can result in a loss of power. Similarly, issues with the steering gear, such as hydraulic failures or mechanical breakdowns, can lead to a loss of steering control.
2. Electrical Failures: Electrical failures can disrupt the power supply on a container ship. These failures can be caused by issues such as electrical system malfunctions, short circuits, damaged cables, or problems with generators or switchboards. A loss of electrical power can impact various systems, including propulsion and steering.
3. Fuel Problems: Fuel-related issues can also lead to power failures. Contamination of fuel, such as the presence of water or impurities, can cause engine malfunctions or damage that results in a loss of power. Insufficient fuel supply or problems with fuel transfer systems can also affect the power generation and propulsion capabilities of the ship.
4. Human Error: Human error, including mistakes made during operations or maintenance, can contribute to power and steering failures. Errors in system operation, failure to follow proper procedures, inadequate maintenance practices, or lack of training can all increase the risk of failures.
5. Weather and Environmental Factors: Extreme weather conditions, such as storms, heavy seas, or rough waters, can pose challenges to the power and steering systems of container ships. Harsh weather can cause mechanical stress, damage, or failures in the ship’s systems, making it difficult to maintain power and steering control.

It’s important to note that container ships are designed with redundant systems and safety measures to mitigate the risk of power and steering failures. Regular inspections, maintenance, and adherence to safety protocols are essential to minimize the occurrence of such failures and ensure the safe operation of these vessels.”

In essence, from then until now I’ve been keeping an eye looking for one of five explanations that makes the least sense or might be the most outrageous. Only because AI insists on the rarity of something like a boat hitting a bridge from happening. Of those explanations will be the underlying reason, and possibly the root cause of the problem. This root maybe obfuscated by something else.

However AI affirms the obvious when you prompt it honestly. The gate keepers may have to reconsider whether the power to query or validate hunches quickly is advantageous for liberty or liberals.

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